It’s a South via Southwest kind of day: we’re going to recognition at the playing cards these days at Sunland Park, Turf Paradise, and Delta Downs. We like playing midweek playing cards from those tracks because of the reliability of the weather, as we can usually be fairly sure, many hours previous to publish, what the situation of the song goes to be. But it really is now not the case today: It’s imagined to rain all around the southwest, especially in Phoenix. We are planning on moist tracks at Sunland and Turf Paradise, however rapid dirt at Delta.
Let’s cross. Race three at Delta Downs in Louisiana (submit time: 3:04 pm Eastern) is a 5 furlong, $10,000 maiden claimer on the dirt for 3-year-vintage fillies. There are a few pretty slow horses in right here; that is why we love a primary-time starter, 5-Lil Ms. Bossy Pants. This lady has had some right works in the morning, and they suggest that she has some speed. Her trainer, Glenn Delahoussaye, is hitting at a fifty-seven% clip with firsters this yr, and this, coupled with the relative weak point of the rest of the sphere, makes her the choice.
The bet: Delta Downs, Race 3, $15 to win on five-Lil Ms. Bossy Pants. At Sunland, the first (publish time: 2:50 pm Eastern) is a $7,500 claimer for older horses at 6 half of furlongs on dirt. Most of these horses have by no means run on an off-track before — it’s how uncommon a wet-day card is in Western New Mexico. That said, we like 7-Ghostly Who. This gray 4-yr-vintage has early velocity, the breeding to suggest he’ll savor the slop, and a instructor, Sherry Armstrong, who hits at a totally high charge in this spot (44% win charge firstly the claim).
That all adds up to go: we will take him at five/2, and we’re going to hammer him in the early double with our select (see underneath) within the 2nd race. The bets: Sunland Park, Race 1, $20 to win on 7-Ghostly Who; $10 double, 7-Ghostly Who with 7-Yep Yep Yep. Race 2 at Sunland (publish time: 3:16 pm Eastern) is a five-furlong dust dash for $8k maiden claiming 3-yr-old fillies. We like 7-Yep Yep Yep: she has very nearly already graduated this degree: She finished first an $8k claimer at Sunland on Feb.
19, but was disqualified and positioned 2d. We think she could have a terrific danger to copy beneath any conditions, but on a wet tune, we pass her up: She’s out of a sire (Decarchy) whose offspring excel inside the slop. We pick her out to win at 5/2 odds. The wager: Sunland Park, Race 2, $20 to win on 7-Yep Yep Yep. Out at Turf Paradise in Phoenix, we’re going to use the rain, and more especially the reality that those horses actually never run on a moist track, to try to discover a massive charge. This is the wasteland, don’t forget, and a wet-day card in Phoenix is relatively rare. We think we have observed this type of play: Race 6 (submit time:
five: forty-five pm Eastern) is a $three 000 claimer for older horses at 6 half furlongs on the dirt. Because of the rain, we pass down numerous horses who might be logical contenders on a quick song: the 2-1 preferred, 1-Flying Mr. K., is a superb instance of this: his rapid-song form is ideal, however on a moist song, he’s had 6 starts offevolved, and has zero wins and 5 out of the money finishes.
He’s a toss. We like 6-Beach Mode: You need to pass quite a long way again to locate it, but he’s received inside the slop: In May of remaining yr, he gained a $10,000 claimer in the slop at Assiniboia Downs in Manitoba. We do not assume that was a fluke: his breeding movements him manner up on off tracks. He’s the choice, and we are hoping we get everywhere near his 10-1 morning line rate. The bet: Turf Paradise, Race 6, $15 to win on 6-Beach Mode. That’s concerned about these days—success at the home windows.
